Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 60.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 17.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.14%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Catanzaro
60.53% ( -0.01)	22.16% ( 0.05)	17.31% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.57% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.84% (

-0.25)

48.16% (

0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.68% (

-0.23)

70.32% (

0.23)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.53% (

-0.09)

15.47% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.66% (

-0.17)

44.34% (

0.17)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.64% (

-0.19)

41.36% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.13% (

-0.17)

77.87% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 60.52%

Catanzaro 17.31%

Draw 22.16%

Cremonese	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 60.52%	1-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.16%	0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.49% 1-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.86% Total : 17.31%