Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
4 - 2
Cesena

Bonini (3'), Pieraccini (10' og.), Iemmello (38'), Cassandro (66')
Brighenti (54'), Pigliacelli (83')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Scognamillo (30' og.), Antonucci (70')
La Gumina (40'), Donnarumma (62'), Antonucci (83')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Brescia 2-3 Catanzaro
Sunday, January 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Cesena

All competitions
Last Game: Cesena 1-1 Bari
Saturday, January 25 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawCesena
39.4% (0.061 0.06)28.11% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.49% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 47.04% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.01% (0.064 0.06)58.98% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.54% (0.048000000000002 0.05)79.46% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (0.064999999999998 0.06)29.17% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.89% (0.080999999999996 0.08)65.11% (-0.085000000000008 -0.09)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)33.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.78% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.22% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 39.39%
    Cesena 32.49%
    Draw 28.1%
CatanzaroDrawCesena
1-0 @ 12.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.11% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.33% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.79% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.1%
0-1 @ 10.69% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.19% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 1.61% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 32.49%

Head to Head
Aug 28, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Cesena
2-0
Catanzaro
Kargbo (18'), Adamo (47')
Antonini (45+1'), Calo (50'), Mangraviti (59'), Curto (69')

Kargbo (45+1'), Iemmello (78'), Seck (83')