Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Bari had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Cesena	Draw	Bari
39.09% ( 0.2)	28.62% ( -0.06)	32.29% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 45.56% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.19% (

0.18)

60.81% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.15% (

0.14)

80.85% (

-0.14)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.75% (

0.21)

30.25% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.58% (

0.25)

66.42% (

-0.25)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.32% (

-0)

34.68% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.59% (

-0)

71.41%

Score Analysis

Cesena 39.09%

Bari 32.28%

Draw 28.62%

Cesena	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 12.54% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.5% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.09%	1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.49% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.62%	0-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 32.28%