Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 44.76%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 27.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.94%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.