Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 42.67%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Catanzaro in this match.