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Serie B | Gameweek 27
Feb 23, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
0 - 1
Catanzaro


Bandinelli (1'), Pio Esposito (14'), Esposito (17'), Mateju (39'), Vignali (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pittarello (75')
Bonini (17'), Situm (58'), Brighenti (61'), Pompetti (79')
Quagliata (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Catanzaro.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, February 15 at 2pm in Serie B

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Catanzaro 1-0 Cittadella
Friday, February 14 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 57.4%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 18.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.31%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCatanzaro
57.4% (0.022000000000006 0.02)23.99% (0.058 0.06)18.61% (-0.077000000000002 -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.53% (-0.285 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (-0.314 -0.31)53.49% (0.316 0.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (-0.265 -0.27)75.01% (0.267 0.27)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.54% (-0.108 -0.11)18.46% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.35% (-0.184 -0.18)49.64% (0.185 0.18)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.06% (-0.272 -0.27)42.94% (0.275 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.76% (-0.233 -0.23)79.24% (0.236 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 57.39%
    Catanzaro 18.61%
    Draw 23.99%
SpeziaDrawCatanzaro
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 11.31% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.37% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.28% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.96% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 0.91% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 57.39%
1-1 @ 11.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.098 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.7% (0.032 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.79% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.35% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 18.61%

Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 4.15pm
Gameweek 18
Catanzaro
0-1
Spezia

Scognamillo (42'), Petriccione (77')
Pio Esposito (18')
Wisniewski (42'), Esposito (90')
Feb 3, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 23
Spezia
1-1
Catanzaro
Jagiello (34')
Bertola (83'), Moro (90+4')
Iemmello (13')
Situm (26'), Biasci (32'), Veroli (54'), Petriccione (73'), Vandeputte (81')
Aug 30, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 3
Catanzaro
3-0
Spezia
Biasci (52'), Nikolaou (59' og.), Pompetti (73')
Scognamillo (31'), D'Andrea (90+5')
Oliveri (90+4')

Amian (29'), Bandinelli (44'), Dragowski (90+5')