Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 41.62%. A draw had a probability of 30.5% and a win for Modena had a probability of 27.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.66%) and 1-2 (7.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Modena win it was 1-0 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Spezia
27.91% ( -0)	30.47% ( -0.03)	41.62% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 39.35% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.37% (

0.08)

67.63% (

-0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.31% (

0.05)

85.69% (

-0.06)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.07% (

0.05)

41.93% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.63% (

0.04)

78.37% (

-0.04)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.76% (

0.06)

32.24% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.27% (

0.07)

68.73% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Modena 27.9%

Spezia 41.62%

Draw 30.46%

Modena	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 11.74% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 5.78% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-2 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.17% Total : 27.9%	0-0 @ 13.51% ( -0.04) 1-1 @ 13.3% 2-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.46%	0-1 @ 15.3% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.66% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 41.62%