Serie B | Gameweek 24
Feb 1, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
3 - 1
Mantova

Caso (18'), Palumbo (38'), Beyuku Bowutankoyi (90')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Mancuso (30')
Fiori (5'), Radaelli (61'), Giordano (72'), Mancuso (73')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Mantova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 2-2 Modena
Sunday, January 26 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Mantova

All competitions
Last Game: Mantova 2-2 Sampdoria
Saturday, January 25 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 48.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 25.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.41%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.

Result
ModenaDrawMantova
48.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)26.49% (0.0019999999999989 0)25.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 47.49%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.61% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.59% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)77.41%
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.7% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)23.3% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.75% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)57.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)38.07% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)74.84% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Modena 48.49%
    Mantova 25.02%
    Draw 26.49%
ModenaDrawMantova
1-0 @ 12.92%
2-0 @ 9.41% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 4.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13%
4-0 @ 1.66%
4-1 @ 1.61%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 48.49%
1-1 @ 12.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.39%
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 26.49%
0-1 @ 8.57% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.41%
0-3 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 25.02%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 4.15pm
Gameweek 15
Mantova
0-0
Modena
Radaelli (35'), Aramu (51'), Solini (71'), Panizzi (81')
Cauz (27'), Caldara (32')
Cotali (77')