Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 40.19%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (11.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Reggiana
40.19% ( 0.91)	28.99% ( 0.21)	30.81% ( -1.12)

Both teams to score 44.13% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.63% (

-0.94)

62.37% (

0.94)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.99% (

-0.69)

82.01% (

0.69)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

0.07)

30.38% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

0.08)

66.57% (

-0.08)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.39% (

-1.34)

36.61% (

1.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.6% (

-1.37)

73.4% (

1.37)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 40.19%

Reggiana 30.81%

Draw 28.99%

Frosinone	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 1.58% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.94% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.38% Total : 40.19%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.99%	0-1 @ 11.17% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.22) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.87% Total : 30.81%