Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 46.42%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 24.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 2-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result
Bari	Draw	Frosinone
46.42% ( 0.82)	28.9% ( 0.13)	24.68% ( -0.94)

Both teams to score 41.02% (

-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.47% (

-0.88)

64.54% (

0.88)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.44% (

-0.62)

83.57% (

0.63)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.98% (

28.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.33% (

63.67% (

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.98% (

-1.38)

43.02% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.69% (

-1.19)

79.31% (

1.19)

Score Analysis

Bari 46.42%

Frosinone 24.67%

Draw 28.89%

Bari	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 15.33% ( 0.49) 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.14% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 46.42%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 12.05% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.44% Total : 28.89%	0-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.05% Total : 24.67%