Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.86%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Bari had a probability of 28.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.43%) and 1-2 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.27%), while for a Bari win it was 1-0 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.