Salernitana
Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 8, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Arechi

Salernitana
1 - 0
Modena

Soriano (63')
Bronn (50')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dellavalle (35'), Palumbo (57'), Santoro (58'), Zaro (76')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Salernitana and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Salernitana

All competitions
Last Game: Salernitana 0-0 Frosinone
Sunday, June 22 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Modena

All competitions
Last Game: Modena 1-2 Venezia
Saturday, December 20 at 2pm in Serie B
Next Game: Modena vs. Monza
Friday, December 26 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.

Result
SalernitanaDrawModena
42.86% (0.296 0.3)27.96% (-0.115 -0.12)29.19% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 46.27% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.62% (0.33 0.33)59.37% (-0.331 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.24% (0.252 0.25)79.76% (-0.254 -0.25)
Salernitana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.57% (0.316 0.32)27.43% (-0.317 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.08% (0.407 0.41)62.92% (-0.406 -0.41)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.77% (0.036000000000001 0.04)36.23% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.98% (0.036999999999999 0.04)73.02% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Salernitana 42.85%
    Modena 29.18%
    Draw 27.95%
SalernitanaDrawModena
1-0 @ 12.85% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.44% (0.054 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.31% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.64% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.85% (0.03 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.16% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 42.85%
1-1 @ 13.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 9.94% (-0.121 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.29% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.95%
0-1 @ 10.09% (-0.11 -0.11)
1-2 @ 6.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.73% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 29.18%

Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 2pm
gameweek 16
Modena
1-1
Salernitana
Palumbo (65')
Idrissi (20')
Soriano (47')
Stojanovic (13')