Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Salernitana in this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Modena
42.86% ( 0.3)	27.96% ( -0.12)	29.19% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 46.27% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.62% (

0.33)

59.37% (

-0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

0.25)

79.76% (

-0.25)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.57% (

0.32)

27.43% (

-0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.08% (

0.41)

62.92% (

-0.41)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.77% (

0.04)

36.23% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.98% (

0.04)

73.02% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Salernitana 42.85%

Modena 29.18%

Draw 27.95%

Salernitana	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 12.85% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.64% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.84% Total : 42.85%	1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 10.09% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.24% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.92% Total : 29.18%