Serie B Gameweek 26
Feb 15, 2025 2.00pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadio dei Marmi
  • Simone Zanon 31' goal
  • Mattia Finotto 41' goal
  • Emanuele Zuelli 46' goal
  • Leonardo Cerri 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lilian Njoh 25'
  • yellowcard Petar Stojanovic 37'
  • yellowcard 56'
  • goal Jeff Reine-Adelaide 63'
  • goal Roberto Soriano 85'

Carrarese vs Salernitana - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carrarese

All competitions
Last game
Feb 8, 2025 2.00pm
Cosenza 1 - 0 Carrarese
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mattia Finotto

Salernitana

All competitions
Last game
Feb 7, 2025 7.30pm
Brescia 0 - 0 Salernitana
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Simy

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrarese win with a probability of 43.62%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 27.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrarese win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrarese would win this match.

Result

Carrarese 43.62% (+0.11)
Draw 28.99% (-0.04)
Salernitana 27.39% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.62% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.52% (+0.07)
Under 2.5 63.47% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 17.19% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 82.81% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 6.77% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 93.23% (-0.03)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5 71.01% (+0.10)
Under 0.5 28.99% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 35.11% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 64.89% (-0.12)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5 60.03% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 39.97% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 23.37% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 76.62% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Carrarese 43.61%
Draw 28.97%
Salernitana 27.39%
Carrarese
1-0 @ 14.34%
2-0 @ 8.88% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 8.15% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.67% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.36% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 43.61%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 11.58% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.74% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 28.97%
Salernitana
0-1 @ 10.62% (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.87% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.14% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 27.39%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 15
Dec 1, 2024 4.15pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stadio Arechi
  • Szymon Wlodarczyk 18' goal
  • Roberto Soriano 20' goal
  • Daniele Verde 53' goal
  • Ajdin Hrustic 75' yellowcard
  • Pawel Jaroszynski 80' yellowcard
  • Simy 89' goal
  • yellowcard Antonio Calabro 0'
  • goal Nicolas Schiavi 41'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Cerri 78'
  • yellowcard Giuseppe Panico 90'+5'