Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Salernitana had a probability of 24.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.78%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.83%), while for a Salernitana win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.