Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 55.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Bari had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.93%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Bari
55.87% ( -1.49)	24.4% ( 0.68)	19.73% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 47.12% (

-0.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.36% (

-1.56)

53.64% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.86% (

-1.33)

75.14% (

1.33)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.9% (

-1.15)

19.1% (

1.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.29% (

-1.93)

50.71% (

1.93)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.24% (

0.01)

41.76% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.77% (

0.01)

78.23% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 55.87%

Bari 19.73%

Draw 24.39%

Sassuolo	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 13.2% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 10.93% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.26) 4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 2.3% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0.19) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.96% Total : 55.87%	1-1 @ 11.52% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.48) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.73% Total : 24.39%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 19.73%