Serie B | Gameweek 27

Feb 22, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova
0 - 1
Bari

Radaelli (16'), Brignani (49'), Trimboli (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Maggiore (70')
Edward Obaretin (55'), Mantovani (75'), Maita (83')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions

Last Game: Palermo 2-2 Mantova
Sunday, February 16 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Bari

All competitions

Last Game: Bari 1-1 Cremonese
Saturday, February 15 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 41.59%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (8.11%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bari in this match.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Bari
29.99% ( 0.16)	28.42% ( 0.05)	41.59% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 45.36% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.3% (

-0.1)

60.69% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.24% (

-0.08)

80.76% (

0.08)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.67% (

0.06)

36.33% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

0.07)

73.11% (

-0.07)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.24% (

-0.17)

28.76% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.4% (

-0.2)

64.59% (

0.2)

Score Analysis

Mantova 29.98%

Bari 41.58%

Draw 28.41%

Mantova	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.36% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.91% Total : 29.98%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.41%	0-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.11% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.62% Total : 41.58%