Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 55.65%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.