Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 28.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Frosinone would win this match.