Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Frosinone win with a probability of 35.84%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Frosinone win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (12.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Frosinone in this match.

Result
Carrarese	Draw	Frosinone
34.93% ( 0.03)	29.23% ( -0)	35.84% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 44.23% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.4% (

0.01)

62.59% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.83% (

82.17% (

-0.01)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.21% (

0.02)

33.79% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.55% (

0.03)

70.45% (

-0.03)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

-0.02)

33.19% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

-0.02)

69.79% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Carrarese 34.93%

Frosinone 35.83%

Draw 29.22%

Carrarese	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 12.16% 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 34.93%	1-1 @ 13.42% 0-0 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 4.02% ( 0) Other @ 0.58% Total : 29.22%	0-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 2.54% Total : 35.83%