Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 21.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11%) and 1-2 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.67%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Spezia
21.19% ( 0.01)	28.6% ( -0)	50.2% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 38.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.1% (

0.01)

65.89% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.49% (

0.01)

84.51% (

-0.01)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.65% (

0.01)

47.34% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.25% (

0.01)

82.74% (

-0.01)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.23% (

26.77% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.95% (

62.05% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 21.19%

Spezia 50.19%

Draw 28.59%

Sudtirol	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.48% 2-1 @ 4.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.54% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 2.34% Total : 21.19%	0-0 @ 12.67% 1-1 @ 12.48% 2-2 @ 3.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.36% Total : 28.59%	0-1 @ 16.7% 0-2 @ 11% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.84% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-4 @ 1.59% 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.19% Other @ 1.68% Total : 50.19%