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Serie B | Gameweek 29
Mar 9, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
3 - 2
Pisa

Esposito (45'), Pio Esposito (58'), Wisniewski (65')
Mateju (73'), Reca (88')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wisniewski (37' og.), Meister (47')
Meister (43'), Canestrelli (74'), Abildgaard (86'), Rasmussen (90+4')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Pisa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-1 Spezia
Friday, February 28 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Pisa

All competitions
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Pisa
Saturday, March 1 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 50.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Pisa had a probability of 21.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.46%), while for a Pisa win it was 0-1 (9.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawPisa
50.69% (0.28 0.28)27.71% (-0.288 -0.29)21.59% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 40.98% (0.677 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.98% (0.866 0.87)63.02% (-0.866 -0.87)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.52% (0.623 0.62)82.48% (-0.62299999999999 -0.62)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.8% (0.529 0.53)25.2% (-0.528 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.06% (0.723 0.72)59.94% (-0.723 -0.72)
Pisa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.79% (0.521 0.52)45.21% (-0.521 -0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.9% (0.411 0.41)81.1% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 50.69%
    Pisa 21.59%
    Draw 27.7%
SpeziaDrawPisa
1-0 @ 15.7% (-0.27 -0.27)
2-0 @ 10.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.066 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.95% (0.109 0.11)
4-0 @ 1.71% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.57% (0.065 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 50.69%
1-1 @ 12.46% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 11.39% (-0.37 -0.37)
2-2 @ 3.41% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 27.7%
0-1 @ 9.05% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 4.95% (0.059 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.59% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.31% (0.035 0.04)
0-3 @ 0.95% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.037 0.04)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 21.59%

Head to Head
Aug 17, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Pisa
2-2
Spezia
Toure (45+6'), Canestrelli (79')
Jevsenak (26'), Inzaghi (27'), Moreo (59'), Bonfanti (81'), Marin (82')
Pio Esposito (21'), Bertola (45+2')
Esposito (28'), Di Serio (68')
Jan 27, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 22
Pisa
2-3
Spezia
Torregrossa (33' pen.), Bonfanti (76')
Esteves (47'), Nicolas (57'), Caracciolo (80'), Canestrelli (82'), Masucci (87'), Tramoni (89')
Kouda (20'), Verde (36', 45')
Kouda (15'), Pietra (90+2'), Esposito (90+5')
Oct 8, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 9
Spezia
0-0
Pisa
Verde (89'), Esposito (90+5'), Moro (90+10')
Ekdal (90+12')
Nicolas (90'), Tramoni (90+9')
Jun 29, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 31
Spezia
1-2
Pisa
Gyasi (26')
Erlic (1'), Mastinu (65'), Galabinov (87'), Gyasi (88')
Marconi (38', 86')
Nov 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 12
Pisa
3-2
Spezia
Marconi (31'), Aya (87'), Benedetti (92')
De Vitis (17'), Marconi (23'), Gucher (62'), Siega (72')
Marconi (93')
Ragusa (69', 76')
Bidaoui (90')