Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pisa win with a probability of 53.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 20.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pisa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (7.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pisa would win this match.