Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 13, 2025 4.15pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Danilo Martelli
  • Tommaso Maggioni 80' goal
  • Stefano Cella 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Tommaso Maggioni 90'+4' goal
  • Tommaso Maggioni 90'+5' yellowcard
  • Stefano Cella 90'+7' goal
  • goal Giuseppe Aurelio 18'
  • goal Salvatore Esposito 52'
  • redcard Nicolo Bertola 63'
  • yellowcard Salvatore Elia 66'
  • yellowcard Francesco Cassata 83'

Mantova vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Mantova

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2025 2.00pm
Brescia 1 - 2 Mantova
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Leonardo Mancuso

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 4.15pm
Spezia 2 - 0 Sampdoria
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Francesco Pio Esposito

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Mantova win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Mantova 22.75% (-0.06)
Draw 27.72% (+0.04)
Spezia 49.53% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.15% (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.83% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 62.17% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 18.14% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 81.86% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 7.29% (-0.06)
Under 4.5 92.71% (+0.06)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5 56.48% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 43.52% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 20.28% (-0.11)
Under 1.5 79.73% (+0.12)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 74.63% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 25.37% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 39.84% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 60.16% (+0.08)

Score analysis

Mantova 22.75%
Draw 27.71%
Spezia 49.52%
Mantova
1-0 @ 9.18% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 5.24% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.45% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.06% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 22.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.59%
0-0 @ 11.03% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 27.71%
Spezia
0-1 @ 15.14% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 10.38% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 4.75% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.95% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.64% (-0.02)
0-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 49.52%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
  • Arkadiusz Reca 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Salvatore Elia 64' yellowcard
  • Petko Hristov 73' yellowcard
  • Diego Falcinelli 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Simone Trimboli 6'
  • redcard Davide Possanzini 7'
  • yellowcard Fabrizio Brignani 12'
  • goal Alessandro Debenedetti 18'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Mancuso 24'
  • redcard Fabrizio Brignani 30'
  • yellowcard David Wieser 70'
  • yellowcard Matteo Solini 74'