Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 49.53%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.38%) and 1-2 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for a Mantova win it was 1-0 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Spezia
22.75% ( -0.05)	27.72% ( 0.03)	49.53% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 42.15% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.83% (

-0.14)

62.17% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.14% (

-0.1)

81.86% (

0.11)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.48% (

-0.13)

43.52% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.28% (

-0.11)

79.73% (

0.11)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.05)

25.37% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

-0.07)

60.16% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Mantova 22.75%

Spezia 49.52%

Draw 27.71%

Mantova	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.75%	1-1 @ 12.59% 0-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.49% Total : 27.71%	0-1 @ 15.14% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.38% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.75% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.95% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.03% Total : 49.52%