Serie B | Gameweek 31
Mar 29, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Danilo Martelli

Mantova
2 - 0
Sudtirol

Mensah (11'), Radaelli (41')
Burrai (37'), Festa (56')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Veseli (17'), Belardinelli (27'), Merkaj (37')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Mantova and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pisa 3-1 Mantova
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 2-2 Carrarese
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 36.87%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mantova would win this match.

Result
MantovaDrawSudtirol
36.87% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)28.02% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)35.11% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.7% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.64% (0.041000000000004 0.04)58.36% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (0.032 0.03)78.97% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.62% (0.0040000000000049 0)30.38% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)66.57% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.51% (0.042999999999992 0.04)31.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.13% (0.049999999999997 0.05)67.87% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Mantova 36.86%
    Sudtirol 35.11%
    Draw 28.01%
MantovaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.79% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.12% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 36.86%
1-1 @ 13.16% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.05%
1-2 @ 7.61% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.39% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 2.93% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.11%

Head to Head
Dec 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 17
Sudtirol
2-2
Mantova
Merkaj (4'), Rover (64')
Merkaj (5'), Arrigoni (26'), Poluzzi (68'), Kofler (74'), Cagnano (90+5')
Galuppini (41'), Aramu (90')
Trimboli (36'), Artioli (38')
rhs 2.0


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