Serie B | Gameweek 30

Mar 16, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
2 - 2
Carrarese

Merkaj (59'), Molina (73')
Praszelik (45+1'), Merkaj (76')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Giovane (17', 17'), Torregrossa (90+2')
Oliana (43'), Giovane (45+1'), Schiavi (72'), Schiavi (72'), Fontanarosa (79'), Capezzi (85'), Capezzi (85')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions

Last Game: Cittadella 1-5 Sudtirol
Sunday, March 9 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Carrarese

All competitions

Last Game: Carrarese 0-1 Frosinone
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 36.75%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.45%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 0-1 (12.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Carrarese
36.75% ( -0.11)	29.45% ( 0.02)	33.8% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 43.56% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

36.63% (

-0.05)

63.37% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.26% (

-0.04)

82.73% (

0.04)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67% (

-0.1)

33% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.41% (

-0.11)

69.59% (

0.11)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.02% (

0.04)

34.98% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.28% (

0.04)

71.72% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 36.74%

Carrarese 33.8%

Draw 29.44%

Sudtirol	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 12.79% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.74%	1-1 @ 13.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.55% Total : 29.44%	0-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 2.17% Total : 33.8%