Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 37.99%. A draw had a probability of 31.1% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 30.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.73%) and 2-1 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.09%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.