Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 46.21%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 26.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.95%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Frosinone win it was 1-0 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
Frosinone	Draw	Spezia
26.74% ( 0.15)	27.04% ( 0.02)	46.21% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 47.32% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.69% (

0.03)

57.31% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.86% (

0.02)

78.15% (

-0.02)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.91% (

0.14)

37.09% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.12% (

0.14)

73.88% (

-0.14)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.22% (

-0.07)

24.78% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.65% (

-0.09)

59.35% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Frosinone 26.74%

Spezia 46.21%

Draw 27.04%

Frosinone	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 26.74%	1-1 @ 12.71% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 12.82% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.95% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.16% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 46.21%