Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 42.06%. A draw had a probability of 29% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 28.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.24%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.