Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salernitana win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 28.93% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Salernitana win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Salernitana would win this match.

Result
Salernitana	Draw	Sudtirol
44.41% ( 0.04)	26.66% ( -0.01)	28.93% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.85% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.25% (

0.04)

54.75% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.94% (

0.03)

76.06% (

-0.03)

Salernitana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.48% (

0.03)

24.52% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.01% (

0.05)

58.99% (

-0.05)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.05% (

-0)

33.95% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.37% (

-0)

70.63%

Score Analysis

Salernitana 44.4%

Sudtirol 28.93%

Draw 26.66%

Salernitana	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 44.4%	1-1 @ 12.64% 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.8% ( 0) Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.66%	0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.46% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.32% Total : 28.93%