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Serie B | Gameweek 38
May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Cremonese

Spezia
2 - 3
Cremonese

Pio Esposito (69'), Lapadula (75' pen.)
Mateju (31'), Vignali (56')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Barbieri (13'), Azzi (17'), Vandeputte (43')
Bianchetti (26'), Barbieri (31'), Johnsen (33'), Pickel (50'), Nasti (88'), Valoti (90+6')
Bianchetti (59')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Cremonese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last Game: Reggiana 2-1 Spezia
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Cremonese

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 1-1 Sassuolo
Sunday, May 4 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
SpeziaDrawCremonese
40.15% (-0.157 -0.16)27.66% (-0.023 -0.02)32.19% (0.179 0.18)
Both teams to score 48.27% (0.116 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.59% (0.124 0.12)57.41% (-0.124 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.78% (0.097999999999999 0.1)78.22% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.98% (0.028000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)63.62% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.03% (0.188 0.19)32.97% (-0.189 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.45% (0.209 0.21)69.55% (-0.20999999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 40.14%
    Cremonese 32.18%
    Draw 27.65%
SpeziaDrawCremonese
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.52% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.006 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.14%
1-1 @ 13.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% (-0.043000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 4.61% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 10.23%
1-2 @ 7.23% (0.035 0.04)
0-2 @ 5.68% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.68% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.18%

How you voted: Spezia vs Cremonese

Spezia
55.6%
Draw
33.3%
Cremonese
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 5
Cremonese
1-1
Spezia
Collocolo (33')
Majer (64')
Hristov (65')
Bandinelli (71'), Bertola (76'), Degl'Innocenti (76'), Nagy (90'), Nagy (90+2')
Jan 20, 2024 1pm
Gameweek 21
Spezia
0-1
Cremonese

Kouda (33'), Cassata (34'), Nikolaou (90+8'), Hristov (90')
Coda (54')
Falletti (49'), Collocolo (70')
Nov 5, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 12
Cremonese
3-0
Spezia
Sernicola (12'), Zanimacchia (29'), Coda (52')
Pickel (39'), Antov (81'), Collocolo (84')

Muhl (22')
Nikolaou (90+4')
May 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 34
Cremonese
2-0
Spezia
Ciofani (41'), Vasquez (77')
> Preview
Oct 16, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 10
Spezia
2-2
Cremonese
N'Zola (19'), Holm (22')
Dessers (2'), Pickel (52')
> Preview