/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fcrelog.png)
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Ales Mateju
31'
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Luca Vignali
56'
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Francesco Pio Esposito
69'
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Gianluca Lapadula
75'
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Tommaso Barbieri
13'
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Paulo Azzi
17'
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Matteo Bianchetti
26'
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Tommaso Barbieri
31'
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Dennis Johnsen
33'
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Jari Vandeputte
43'
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Charles Pickel
50'
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Matteo Bianchetti
59'
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Marco Nasti
88'
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Mattia Valoti
90'+6'
Spezia vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result
Spezia
40.15%
▼
(-0.16)
Draw
27.66%
▼
(-0.03)
Cremonese
32.19%
▲
(+0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
48.27%
▲
(+0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.59%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
57.41%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
21.78%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 3.5
78.22%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
9.38%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
90.62%
▼
(-0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
72.01%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
27.98%
▲
(+0.03)
Over 1.5
36.38%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 1.5
63.62%
▲
(+0.04)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5
67.03%
▲
(+0.19)
Under 0.5
32.97%
▼
(-0.19)
Over 1.5
30.45%
▲
(+0.21)
Under 1.5
69.55%
▼
(-0.21)
Score analysis
Spezia
40.14%
Draw
27.65%
Cremonese
32.18%
Spezia
1-0
@
11.74%
▼
(-0.08)
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.14%
2-1 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.52% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.96% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 40.14%
Draw
1-1
@
13.03%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
0-0 @ 9.23% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 27.65%
Cremonese
0-1
@
10.23%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.18%
1-2 @ 7.23% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.18%