Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 66.87%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mantova had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.96%), while for a Mantova win it was 0-1 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Cremonese	Draw	Mantova
66.87% ( 1.09)	19.01% ( -0.52)	14.11% ( -0.57)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

0.29)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.57% (

1.13)

40.43% (

-1.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.19% (

1.15)

62.81% (

-1.15)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.8% (

0.62)

11.19% (

-0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.29% (

1.34)

35.7% (

-1.33)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.16% (

-0.09)

40.84% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.59% (

-0.08)

77.41% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Cremonese 66.86%

Mantova 14.11%

Draw 19.02%

Cremonese	Draw	Mantova
2-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.27) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 8% ( 0.18) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.2) 4-1 @ 3.92% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.12) Other @ 4.02% Total : 66.86%	1-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.26) 0-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.13% Total : 19.02%	0-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.23) 1-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.11%