Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 63.96%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 14.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (5.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.