Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 45.88%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 25.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.47%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Juve Stabia win it was 0-1 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.