Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 55.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Reggiana win it was 1-0 (7.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Reggiana	Draw	Cremonese
18.56% ( -0.08)	26.15% ( -0.21)	55.29% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 40.88% (

0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.02% (

0.56)

60.97% (

-0.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.03% (

0.42)

80.97% (

-0.42)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.58% (

0.24)

47.42% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.2% (

0.18)

82.8% (

-0.17)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.74% (

0.36)

22.26% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.29% (

0.54)

55.71% (

-0.54)

Score Analysis

Reggiana 18.56%

Cremonese 55.28%

Draw 26.14%

Reggiana	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.94% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.23% Total : 18.56%	1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 3.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.44% Total : 26.14%	0-1 @ 15.85% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 11.91% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 5.97% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.45% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.67% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.28%