Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 20.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Catanzaro
55.75% ( -0.1)	23.9% ( 0.13)	20.35% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 49.51% (

-0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.05% (

-0.53)

50.94% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18% (

-0.47)

72.81% (

0.46)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

-0.23)

18.13% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.92% (

-0.4)

49.08% (

0.39)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.47% (

-0.34)

39.53% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.78% (

-0.31)

76.21% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Spezia 55.73%

Catanzaro 20.35%

Draw 23.89%

Spezia	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 10.44% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.34% Total : 55.73%	1-1 @ 11.35% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 23.89%	0-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.37% Total : 20.35%