/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
-
Ales Mateju
31'
-
Giuseppe Aurelio
36'
-
Przemyslaw Wisniewski
61'
-
Diego Falcinelli
88'
-
Andrea La Mantia
15'
-
Tommaso Cassandro
31'
-
Tommaso Biasci
86'
-
Stefano Scognamillo
88'
Spezia vs Catanzaro - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 55.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 20.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (6.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result
Spezia
55.75%
▼
(-0.10)
Draw
23.9%
▲
(+0.13)
Catanzaro
20.35%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
49.51%
▼
(-0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.05%
▼
(-0.53)
Under 2.5
50.94%
▲
(+0.53)
Over 3.5
27.18%
▼
(-0.47)
Under 3.5
72.81%
▲
(+0.47)
Over 4.5
12.77%
▼
(-0.31)
Under 4.5
87.23%
▲
(+0.31)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
81.87%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 0.5
18.13%
▲
(+0.23)
Over 1.5
50.92%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 1.5
49.08%
▲
(+0.40)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5
60.47%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 0.5
39.53%
▲
(+0.34)
Over 1.5
23.78%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 1.5
76.21%
▲
(+0.31)
Score analysis
Spezia
55.73%
Draw
23.89%
Catanzaro
20.35%
Spezia
1-0
@
12.23%
▲
(+0.17)
2-0 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.73%
2-0 @ 10.44% ▲ (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.52% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.06)
4-0 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.09% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 55.73%
Draw
1-1
@
11.35%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.89%
0-0 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 23.89%
Catanzaro
0-1
@
6.65%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 20.35%
1-2 @ 5.27% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 20.35%
Head to Head
-
Filippo Bandinelli
1'
-
Francesco Pio Esposito
14'
-
Salvatore Esposito
17'
-
Ales Mateju
39'
-
Gianluca Lapadula
66'
-
Luca Vignali
84'
-
Federico Bonini
17'
-
Mario Situm
58'
-
Nicolo Brighenti
61'
-
Filippo Pittarello
75'
-
Marco Pompetti
79'
-
Giacomo Quagliata
90'+4'