Serie B

May 17, 2025 at 4.15pm UK

Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
1 - 0
Cesena

Iemmello (54')
Bonini (44'), Iemmello (55'), Ilie (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Adamo (80'), Russo (90+5'), Calo (90+1')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions

Last Game: Mantova 0-0 Catanzaro
Tuesday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Cesena

All competitions

Last Game: Modena 0-1 Cesena
Tuesday, May 13 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 35.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.01%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Catanzaro in this match.

Result
Catanzaro	Draw	Cesena
37.04% ( -0.97)	27.41% ( 0.09)	35.55% ( 0.88)

Both teams to score 49.6% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.99% (

-0.31)

56.01% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.9% (

-0.25)

77.1% (

0.25)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.88% (

-0.72)

29.12% (

0.72)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.96% (

-0.9)

65.04% (

0.9)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.97% (

0.4)

30.03% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.85% (

0.48)

66.15% (

-0.48)

Score Analysis

Catanzaro 37.03%

Cesena 35.55%

Draw 27.4%

Catanzaro	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.01% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.19) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.56% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.74% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 7.81% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 35.55%