Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 24.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (8.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juve Stabia would win this match.