Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 35.74%. A win for Sudtirol had a probability of 35.17% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.43%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Sudtirol win was 1-0 (12.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.