Serie B | Gameweek 32
Apr 6, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
3 - 3
Bari

Iemmello (44'), Bonini (69'), Quagliata (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lasagna (27'), Favasuli (78'), Favilli (90+2')
Radunovic (69')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 2-1 Catanzaro
Saturday, March 29 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Carrarese 2-1 Bari
Sunday, March 30 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Bari had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.41%). The likeliest Bari win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
CatanzaroDrawBari
44.17% (1.141 1.14)27.22% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)28.6% (-1.067 -1.07)
Both teams to score 48.01% (-0.35299999999999 -0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.99% (-0.176 -0.18)57.01% (0.175 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (-0.139 -0.14)77.9% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.34% (0.505 0.5)25.65% (-0.506 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45% (0.686 0.69)60.55% (-0.685 -0.69)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.58% (-0.917 -0.92)35.41% (0.918 0.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.82% (-0.962 -0.96)72.17% (0.96300000000001 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 44.17%
    Bari 28.6%
    Draw 27.22%
CatanzaroDrawBari
1-0 @ 12.35% (0.25 0.25)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.294 0.29)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.098 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.81% (0.186 0.19)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.052 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.3% (0.081 0.08)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 44.17%
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.061 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.174 -0.17)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-2 @ 4.9% (-0.216 -0.22)
1-3 @ 2.3% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 1.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.57% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 28.6%

Head to Head
Oct 18, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bari
1-1
Catanzaro
Dorval (30')
Benali (45+2'), Maita (62'), Pucino (90')
Iemmello (74')
Biasci (30'), Caserta (31'), Petriccione (45+1'), Buso (90+5')
Caserta (0')
Feb 27, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 27
Catanzaro
2-0
Bari
Vandeputte (4'), Iemmello (78')
Brighenti (53'), Vandeputte (81')

Di Cesare (63'), Vicari (72'), Benali (90+2')
Sep 24, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 6
Bari
2-2
Catanzaro
Koutsoupias (28', 57')
Diaw (77')
Sounas (30'), Verna (45+1')
Veroli (55'), Vivarini (56'), Miranda (81'), Ghion (83')
Vivarini (0'), Miranda (83')