Serie B | Gameweek 31
Mar 30, 2025 at 2pm UK
Stadio dei Marmi

Carrarese
2 - 1
Bari

Torregrossa (45'), Guarino (51')
Giovane (33'), Cicconi (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simic (37')
Benali (23'), Dorval (29'), Edward Obaretin (45+2'), Simic (60')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Carrarese and Bari.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sudtirol 2-2 Carrarese
Sunday, March 16 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Bari 0-0 Salernitana
Saturday, March 15 at 6.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.47%. A win for Carrarese had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Carrarese win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
CarrareseDrawBari
32.6% (0.055999999999997 0.06)28.93% (0.015000000000001 0.02)38.47% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Both teams to score 44.77% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.18% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)61.82% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.4% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)81.6% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.01% (0.019999999999996 0.02)35% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.26% (0.021000000000001 0.02)71.74% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)31.13% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)67.46% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Carrarese 32.59%
    Bari 38.46%
    Draw 28.92%
CarrareseDrawBari
1-0 @ 11.43% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.45% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 2.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 32.59%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.09% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.92%
0-1 @ 12.71%
1-2 @ 7.79% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.42% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.59% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.04%
Total : 38.46%

How you voted: Carrarese vs Bari

Carrarese
43.8%
Draw
12.5%
Bari
43.8%
16
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bari
0-0
Carrarese
Lasagna (76'), Mantovani (80'), Bellomo (85')
Giovane (52'), Schiavi (58'), Cherubini (90+3')