Serie B | Gameweek 30
Mar 16, 2025 at 4.15pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
4 - 0
Cosenza

Iemmello (20'), Pompetti (46'), Bonini (54'), Coulibaly (68')
Petriccione (57'), Petriccione (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

D'Orazio (48')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Cosenza Calcio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Catanzaro

All competitions
Last Game: Cremonese 4-0 Catanzaro
Saturday, March 8 at 2pm in Serie B

Cosenza Calcio

All competitions
Last Game: Cosenza 1-0 Reggiana
Friday, March 7 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 48.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Catanzaro would win this match.

Result
CatanzaroDrawCosenza Calcio
48.26% (-0.29799999999999 -0.3)27.05% (0.302 0.3)24.69% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 45.67% (-0.816 -0.82)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.4% (-1.052 -1.05)58.61% (1.055 1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.84% (-0.827 -0.83)79.16% (0.82899999999999 0.83)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.63% (-0.60000000000001 -0.6)24.37% (0.602 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.22% (-0.854 -0.85)58.78% (0.857 0.86)
Cosenza Calcio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39% (-0.594 -0.59)39.61% (0.595 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (-0.553 -0.55)76.29% (0.556 0.56)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 48.25%
    Cosenza Calcio 24.69%
    Draw 27.05%
CatanzaroDrawCosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 13.62% (0.3 0.3)
2-0 @ 9.62% (0.048 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.91% (-0.1 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.056999999999999 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.19% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.94% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.6% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.48% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 12.62% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 9.65% (0.379 0.38)
2-2 @ 4.13% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.212 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.14% (0.032 0.03)
1-3 @ 1.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-3 @ 1.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.27% (-0.057 -0.06)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 24.69%

Head to Head
Dec 26, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 19
Cosenza
1-1
Catanzaro
Ciervo (90+16' pen.)
D'Orazio (38'), Matheus Lima Pontes (54'), Mazzocchi (66'), Ciervo (90+17')
Caporale (21')
Pompetti (80')
Brighenti (65'), Scognamillo (77')
Mar 3, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 28
Cosenza
0-2
Catanzaro

Mazzocchi (43'), D'Orazio (45'), Forte (49'), Venturi (61'), Micai (90+5')
Venturi (77')
Iemmello (31'), Biasci (89')
Petriccione (6')
Nov 26, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 14
Catanzaro
2-0
Cosenza
Iemmello (12'), Biasci (52')
Sounas (20'), Biasci (23'), Katseris (66')

Praszelik (18'), Marras (26'), Venturi (64'), Zuccon (90+1')
rhs 2.0


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