Serie B | Gameweek 38

May 9, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla

Cosenza
0 - 1
Cesena

Sgarbi (77')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Bastoni (12')
Saric (51'), Francesconi (90+3')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cosenza Calcio and Cesena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cosenza Calcio

All competitions

Last Game: Sudtirol 2-1 Cosenza
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Cesena

All competitions

Last Game: Cesena 2-1 Palermo
Sunday, May 4 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cesena in this match.

Result
Cosenza Calcio	Draw	Cesena
35.05% ( -0.02)	28.09% ( -0.01)	36.86% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.5% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.39% (

0.04)

58.61% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.83% (

0.03)

79.17% (

-0.02)

Cosenza Calcio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.34% (

0.01)

31.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.93% (

68.07% (

-0)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.5% (

0.03)

30.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.28% (

0.04)

66.72% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Cosenza Calcio 35.04%

Cesena 36.86%

Draw 28.08%

Cosenza Calcio	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.59% 2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 2.91% 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 35.04%	1-1 @ 13.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.66% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.08%	0-1 @ 11.46% 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.1% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.27% Total : 36.86%