Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cesena in this match.