Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 27.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.5%). The likeliest Cesena win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Cesena	Draw	Sassuolo
27.66% ( 0.43)	26.18% ( 0.18)	46.17% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 50.48% (

-0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.46% (

-0.43)

53.54% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.95% (

-0.36)

75.05% (

0.37)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.69% (

0.11)

34.31% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.99% (

0.12)

71.01% (

-0.12)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.84% (

-0.47)

23.16% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.97% (

-0.68)

57.03% (

0.69)

Score Analysis

Cesena 27.66%

Sassuolo 46.16%

Draw 26.17%

Cesena	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.55% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 27.66%	1-1 @ 12.43% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.94% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.17%	0-1 @ 11.62% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.09% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 8.5% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.52% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.86% Total : 46.16%