Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 43.34%. A win for Modena had a probability of 30.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Modena	Draw	Sassuolo
30.03% ( 0.27)	26.63% ( -0.04)	43.34% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.52% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.84% (

0.26)

54.15% (

-0.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.43% (

0.22)

75.57% (

-0.22)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.18% (

0.33)

32.82% (

-0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.61% (

0.37)

69.38% (

-0.37)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.21% (

-0)

24.79%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.63% (

-0)

59.37%

Score Analysis

Modena 30.04%

Sassuolo 43.33%

Draw 26.62%

Modena	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 30.04%	1-1 @ 12.64% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 43.33%