Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 44.96%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.

Result
Palermo	Draw	Sassuolo
28.61% ( 2.03)	26.42% ( 0.63)	44.96% ( -2.65)

Both teams to score 50.35% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.99% (

-1.29)

54.01% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.55% (

-1.09)

75.45% (

1.09)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.92)

33.81% (

-0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.52% (

0.99)

70.47% (

-0.99)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.07% (

-1.78)

23.93% (

1.79)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.85% (

-2.62)

58.15% (

2.63)

Score Analysis

Palermo 28.61%

Sassuolo 44.96%

Draw 26.42%

Palermo	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.64) 2-1 @ 6.8% ( 0.32) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.46) 3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.34% Total : 28.61%	1-1 @ 12.54% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.42%	0-1 @ 11.57% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.97% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 8.27% ( -0.47) 1-3 @ 4.28% ( -0.37) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.45) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.14) 1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.25) Other @ 2.67% Total : 44.96%