Serie B | Gameweek 37

May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK

Stadio Marco Druso

Sudtirol
2 - 1
Cosenza

Molina (45'), Davi (68')
Molina (6'), Rover (14'), El Kaouakibi (43'), Merkaj (56'), Kofler (71'), Gori (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mazzocchi (18')
Florenzi (43'), D'Orazio (59'), Artistico (77')
Florenzi (60')

Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sudtirol and Cosenza Calcio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sudtirol

All competitions

Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Sudtirol
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Cosenza Calcio

All competitions

Last Game: Cosenza 1-0 Bari
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sudtirol would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Cosenza Calcio
42.62% ( 0.29)	28.16% ( 0.03)	29.22% ( -0.32)

Both teams to score 45.73% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.93% (

-0.22)

60.07% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.71% (

-0.17)

80.29% (

0.17)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.11% (

0.05)

27.89% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.5% (

0.06)

63.5% (

-0.06)

Cosenza Calcio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.42% (

-0.37)

36.58% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.63% (

-0.38)

73.37% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 42.62%

Cosenza Calcio 29.21%

Draw 28.16%

Sudtirol	Draw	Cosenza Calcio
1-0 @ 13.02% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.75% Total : 42.62%	1-1 @ 13.1% 0-0 @ 10.2% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.21% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.16%	0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.87% Total : 29.21%