Serie B | Gameweek 37
May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi

Cesena
2 - 1
Palermo

Calo (37'), Saric (46')
Piacentini (53'), Ceesay (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pierozzi (45+6')
Pierozzi (41'), Diakite (45+2')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cesena and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mantova 3-0 Cesena
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Palermo 1-2 Sudtirol
Thursday, May 1 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cesena win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cesena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cesena would win this match.

Result
CesenaDrawPalermo
37.22% (1.29 1.29)27.79% (0.108 0.11)34.99% (-1.394 -1.39)
Both teams to score 48.41% (-0.369 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.53% (-0.439 -0.44)57.48% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.73% (-0.349 -0.35)78.28% (0.35300000000001 0.35)
Cesena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.28% (0.58 0.58)29.72% (-0.575 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.22% (0.693 0.69)65.79% (-0.68900000000001 -0.69)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.89% (-1.1 -1.1)31.12% (1.103 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.56% (-1.304 -1.3)67.44% (1.309 1.31)
Score Analysis
    Cesena 37.22%
    Palermo 34.99%
    Draw 27.79%
CesenaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.37 0.37)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.144 0.14)
2-0 @ 6.81% (0.324 0.32)
3-1 @ 3.21% (0.108 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.75% (0.172 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 37.22%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.25% (0.155 0.15)
2-2 @ 4.64% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 10.79% (-0.15 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.65% (-0.217 -0.22)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.284 -0.28)
1-3 @ 2.98% (-0.179 -0.18)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.189 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 34.99%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2pm
Gameweek 6
Palermo
0-0
Cesena
Diakite (45+1'), Segre (53'), Pierozzi (56'), Saric (70')
Donnarumma (29'), Curto (40'), Calo (69'), Ciofi (80'), Prestia (89')
May 12, 2018 2pm
Dec 21, 2017 7.30pm
Cesena
1-1
Palermo
Jallow (34')
Scognamiglio (37')
Trajkovski (9')
Bellusci (48')
Mar 8, 2015 11.30am
Oct 19, 2014 2pm
Palermo
2-1
Cesena
Dybala (33'), Gonzalez (91')
Chochev (35'), Andjelkovic (60'), Vasquez (65'), Munoz (81'), Rigoni (88')
Rodriguez (61' pen.)
Perico (9'), De Feudis (72'), Coppola (76')
Coppola (79')