Serie B Gameweek 33
Apr 11, 2025 7.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Giulio Maggiore 6' goal
  • Costantino Favasuli 52' yellowcard
  • Lorenco Simic 89' goal
  • goal Joel Pohjanpalo 18'
  • yellowcard Giangiacomo Magnani 48'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 84'

Bari vs Palermo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
Catanzaro 3 - 3 Bari
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Kevin Lasagna

Palermo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2025 2.00pm
Palermo 5 - 3 Sassuolo
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Joel Pohjanpalo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.

Result

Bari 38.67% (-0.40)
Draw 28.35% (+0.20)
Palermo 32.97% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46% (-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.23% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 59.77% (+0.68)
Over 3.5 19.94% (-0.52)
Under 3.5 80.06% (+0.52)
Over 4.5 8.3% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 91.7% (+0.30)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5 70.02% (-0.57)
Under 0.5 29.98% (+0.57)
Over 1.5 33.9% (-0.69)
Under 1.5 66.1% (+0.68)

Palermo Goals

Over 0.5 66.35% (-0.22)
Under 0.5 33.64% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 29.7% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 70.29% (+0.24)

Score analysis

Bari 38.67%
Draw 28.34%
Palermo 32.96%
Bari
1-0 @ 12.15% (+0.13)
2-1 @ 7.97% (-0.10)
2-0 @ 7.32% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.09)
3-0 @ 2.94% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 38.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.23% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 10.08% (+0.25)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.34%
Palermo
0-1 @ 10.98% (+0.22)
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.99% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 2.62% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 32.96%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Jeremy Le Douaron 41' goal
  • Matteo Brunori 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Jacopo Segre 61' yellowcard
  • Ionut Nedelcearu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mattia Maita 65'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Pucino 84'
Serie B Gameweek 23
Feb 2, 2024 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Filippo Ranocchia 44' goal
  • Federico Di Francesco 67' yellowcard
  • Pietro Ceccaroni 71' goal
  • Jacopo Segre 80' goal
  • Simon Graves 84' yellowcard
  • Aljosa Vasic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gennaro Acampora 26'
  • yellowcard Raffaele Pucino 73'
Serie B Gameweek 1
Aug 18, 2023 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Valerio Di Cesare 50' yellowcard
  • Mattia Maita 50' redcard
  • Giuseppe Sibilli 51' yellowcard
  • Valerio Di Cesare 66' redcard
  • Raffaele Maiello 67' yellowcard
  • Ahmed Benali 70' yellowcard
  • Jeremy Menez 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Brenno 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivan Marconi 24'
  • yellowcard Eugenio Corini 25'
  • yellowcard Matteo Brunori 64'
  • yellowcard Aljosa Vasic 73'
  • yellowcard Roberto Insigne 75'
  • goal Matteo Brunori 90'+10'
Serie B Gameweek 21
Jan 20, 2023 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera
  • Ivan Marconi 82' goal
Serie B Gameweek 2
Aug 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale San Nicola
  • Mattia Maita 24' yellowcard
  • Walid Cheddira 68' goal
  • Valerio Di Cesare 77' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alessio Buttaro 18'
  • goal Nicola Valente 37'
  • yellowcard Nicola Valente 50'
  • redcard Ivan Marconi 86'
Serie B
Apr 30, 2018 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Renzo Barbera (Palermo)
  • Ivaylo Chochev 47' yellowcard
  • Antonino La Gumina 80' goal
  • Gabriele Rolando 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nene 31'
  • yellowcard Alan Empereur 36'
  • yellowcard Jure Balkovec 67'
  • yellowcard Luca Marrone 76'
  • redcard Luca Marrone 85'
  • yellowcard Migjen Basha 88'
  • goal Nene 89'
  • redcard Liam Henderson 90'