Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 70.54%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Catanzaro had a probability of 11.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.28%), while for a Catanzaro win it was 0-1 (3.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.