Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sassuolo win with a probability of 64.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 14.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sassuolo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (5.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sassuolo would win this match.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Carrarese
64.34% ( 0.21)	21.32% ( -0.03)	14.33% ( -0.18)

Both teams to score 45.63% (

-0.35)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.04% (

-0.23)

49.96% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.05% (

-0.2)

71.94% (

0.21)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.16% (

-0.01)

14.83% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.85% (

-0.02)

43.14% (

0.02)

Carrarese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.58% (

-0.4)

46.42% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.95% (

-0.31)

82.04% (

0.31)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 64.33%

Carrarese 14.33%

Draw 21.32%

Sassuolo	Draw	Carrarese
1-0 @ 13.13% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 64.33%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.89% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.66% Total : 21.32%	0-1 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.22% Total : 14.33%